• Yoga Hepta Gumilar System Dynamics Center
Keywords: Land Change, , Spatial Dynamics, Land Capability Class


Settlement development will be directly proportional to population growth and population needs for housing. The need to know projections of future land use, especially residential and building land, is a must for policymakers. This study uses a spatial dynamics method to project land up to 2032 and uses an overlay method to determine land use classes. Inland projections in 2032, it is known that population growth occurs in class I land capacity covering an area of ​​8,111.06 hectares, which means that settlements and buildings are included in the best class for development. However, if the growth and conversion of land into settlements are not limited, there will be environmental damage, one of which is air pollution due to the lack of green open space. A solution that has been simulated and has succeeded in reducing the growth rate of residential land is the creation of vertical housing and this is followed up by the drafting of a regional regulation on restrictions on building construction. With these two simulations, the results show that the growth rate of residential land is reduced and land conversion slows down. In 2032, the developing settlements will be in the first land capacity class of 8,111.06 hectares, which means that class I is the most widely used as a residence for the people of Depok City and is the best land capability class.


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